Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.020605 0.022300 0.024067 0.026050 0.028213 0.030502 0.033110
2025-08-31 0.017573 0.019984 0.022638 0.025780 0.029407 0.033469 0.038374
2025-09-07 0.015611 0.018413 0.021622 0.025579 0.030343 0.035912 0.042945
2025-09-14 0.014198 0.017246 0.020850 0.025444 0.031170 0.038105 0.047193
2025-09-21 0.012991 0.016178 0.020050 0.025127 0.031646 0.039786 0.050800
2025-09-28 0.012179 0.015508 0.019652 0.025226 0.032577 0.042015 0.055164
2025-10-05 0.011409 0.014820 0.019160 0.025131 0.033201 0.043826 0.059031
2025-10-12 0.010818 0.014314 0.018852 0.025231 0.034050 0.045937 0.063386
2025-10-19 0.010290 0.013849 0.018557 0.025307 0.034840 0.047977 0.067725
2025-10-26 0.009758 0.013341 0.018165 0.025209 0.035356 0.049634 0.071580
2025-11-02 0.009312 0.012923 0.017866 0.025210 0.035992 0.051466 0.075770
2025-11-09 0.008793 0.012371 0.017343 0.024851 0.036068 0.052466 0.078741
2025-11-16 0.008263 0.011792 0.016773 0.024423 0.036060 0.053405 0.081787
2025-11-23 0.007828 0.011329 0.016348 0.024186 0.036330 0.054782 0.085620
2025-11-30 0.007443 0.010918 0.015975 0.024000 0.036655 0.056246 0.089669
2025-12-07 0.007105 0.010558 0.015657 0.023875 0.037055 0.057834 0.094000
2025-12-14 0.006751 0.010155 0.015249 0.023580 0.037158 0.058935 0.097567
2025-12-21 0.006518 0.009924 0.015093 0.023671 0.037883 0.061076 0.103027
2025-12-28 0.006259 0.009640 0.014837 0.023583 0.038298 0.062714 0.107701
2026-01-04 0.006058 0.009438 0.014698 0.023676 0.039013 0.064888 0.113454
2026-01-11 0.005865 0.009238 0.014553 0.023747 0.039689 0.067021 0.119259
2026-01-18 0.005651 0.008993 0.014321 0.023656 0.040073 0.068656 0.124237
2026-01-25 0.005467 0.008790 0.014150 0.023657 0.040614 0.070589 0.129891